Saturday, March 07, 2009

Pak Jihadis Versus Pak Citizens

Going by the most recent developments, the perilously Talibanised Pakistani has started showing the fissures in its so called brawny administration earlier than expected. In the absence of the active cooperation of the armed forces, the political leadership there appears to be too weak to put up any significant resistance to the formidable Taliban. This must have compelled the Pak Government to introduce Islamic law to parts of North West Frontier Province, which includes Swat, in a bid to buy kosher peace for a paltry ten days. For Pak it has at last found its own troubled valley in Swat valley in its northwest, which is just 130 km northwest of Islamabad.
This is a clear case of surrendering before the armed-to-the-teeth Taliban, tantamounting to genuflecting before it in an apparent bid to appease the terror outfit. Pak administration appears to be in a serious moribund situation in fighting al-Qaeda and the Taliban on its western Front are concerned. This will certainly embolden the outfit to inch more and more towards Islamabad rendering the country vulnerable to balkanization. India, in particular, and the west, in general, has sufficient reasons to be concerned about the disquieting developments in Pak. Even a militarily less powerful Sri Lanka did not yield to the decades long armed struggle of LTTE as far as playing with the country’s constitutional frame work was concerned. But a supposedly powerful Pak Government is seen to be mindless about the perilous fall-outs of such a tactical blunder.
Now, the ruthless militants have made a bold and brazen attack on the lives of the Sri Lankan Cricketers in Lahore. It is apparent that the Pakistani response to the Swat issue has emboldened the militants after the government itself exposed its soft underbelly to the terrorists in order to run its writ in the beleaguered Swat region. The so called experts of the Pak security agencies and the myopic western experts have analised and discarded with the same speed various theories behind the attack to no avail. The Pak and some interested US Security advisers proffered a new far-fetched theory of Good Taliban and Bad Taliban as a face saving formula and in a bid to justify the defenseless Pak administrators knowing fully well that there is no such thing as good terrorist and bad terrorist. The harsh reality is that the supposedly democratically elected Pak government runs the twin risk of either being overrun by the Taliban or a military coup.
In the ultimate analysis, the real loser is the ordinary hapless Pak citizens who are caught between the mercilessly mindless Jihadis and a powerless state which is virtually in moribund condition as far as fighting the fringe elements.
For the west, which has been blindly supporting Pak for quite some time and still pumping in millions of dollars as aid, this is a clear writing on the wall. If their foreign policy makers in the G-8 countries read the message well, measure the internal disturbances within Pakistan and understand the dangerous fall-outs for the rest of the world it will be good.

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